Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.033126 0.036354 0.039635 0.043211 0.046993 0.050867 0.055129
2025-08-17 0.026895 0.031541 0.036461 0.042030 0.048130 0.054584 0.061902
2025-08-24 0.021901 0.027499 0.033675 0.040923 0.049129 0.058065 0.068467
2025-08-31 0.018728 0.025132 0.032481 0.041397 0.051788 0.063390 0.077198
2025-09-07 0.016224 0.023262 0.031651 0.042152 0.054717 0.069059 0.086457
2025-09-14 0.013937 0.021390 0.030621 0.042531 0.057141 0.074160 0.095163
2025-09-21 0.012113 0.019888 0.029883 0.043149 0.059795 0.079540 0.104276
2025-09-28 0.010850 0.018975 0.029782 0.044489 0.063311 0.085980 0.114741
2025-10-05 0.008912 0.016884 0.027943 0.043452 0.063758 0.088646 0.120672
2025-10-12 0.007570 0.015479 0.026888 0.043324 0.065279 0.092596 0.128170
2025-10-19 0.006671 0.014629 0.026516 0.044048 0.067866 0.097874 0.137339
2025-10-26 0.005715 0.013553 0.025716 0.044103 0.069523 0.101963 0.145051
2025-11-02 0.004409 0.011715 0.023678 0.042378 0.068838 0.103168 0.149350
2025-11-09 0.003560 0.010540 0.022543 0.041865 0.069753 0.106441 0.156315
2025-11-16 0.002821 0.009418 0.021378 0.041221 0.070434 0.109397 0.162908
2025-11-23 0.002422 0.008919 0.021193 0.042027 0.073154 0.115085 0.173098
2025-11-30 0.002102 0.008525 0.021146 0.043027 0.076157 0.121188 0.183900
2025-12-07 0.001768 0.008013 0.020837 0.043582 0.078510 0.126434 0.193631
2025-12-14 0.001501 0.007603 0.020666 0.044332 0.081145 0.132083 0.203943
2025-12-21 0.001339 0.007434 0.020930 0.045785 0.084832 0.139211 0.216279
2025-12-28 0.000986 0.006572 0.019758 0.044789 0.084821 0.141213 0.221788
2026-01-04 0.000766 0.006031 0.019157 0.044703 0.086148 0.145063 0.229783
2026-01-11 0.000636 0.005752 0.019065 0.045473 0.088779 0.150755 0.240296